Forecasting the future is the theme of the closing Town Hall event each year at a J.Boye conference, a session that’s both fun and informative. Two volunteer experts offer their respective “yes” or “no” opinions on possible future trends on the online world. And then the delegates vote on which possibility they think is most likely to happen.
- No. Several things are holding them back. Most people, at least in the U.S., don’t know what they are. The apps to read them don’t come installed on smartphones. Here is the U.S. you don’t see them often on ads. For those who have the apps now (I have Bakodo), they simply don’t always work on every QR code on every device.
- Pick the cool tool. Many people cannot stand formal procurement processes and don’t feel that a procurement review would result in better decisions about the most appropriate social media tools.
- An emphatic “no” on this one. Present websites will adapt but some tasks that people expect to do online are best done on a regular website, now and forever.
- No. Lots of division on this one, with some taking note that today’s 5 year old child may not ever use a traditional keyboard or mouse. But for many in the room, keyboards allow much faster writing than smartphones and tablets and are not going away anytime soon.
- No. Although few felt that present “governance” or “management” schemes were especially effective, even fewer could imagine letting anarchy reign.
- No. Video is important, but almost nobody felt it was going to replace text.
- No. I couldn’t sense how much of the sentiment here was a wee bit of latent hostility re Facebook but the best comments suggested that Google was a much broader enterprise than Facebook and was not about to lose its current position as had IBM and Microsoft.
Steve killed Flash.
- No. Some discussion here of the HTML5 impact on web development, but Adobe remains vigorous in defense of flash and Adroid tablets use it. A majority felt it would continue to exist in the future.
- J.BoyeAarhus2011 on November 8-10
- J.BoyePhiladelphia2012 in May 1-3